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Foreign Capital Drives Growth in Portugal’s Commercial Property Market

In Lisbon News
January 02, 2026
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Investment rebounds with strong annual growth

Investment in commercial real estate showed renewed momentum in 2025, with total volumes rising around ten percent compared to the previous year. According to figures released Cushman & Wakefield, total investment reached approximately two billion six hundred seventy million euros, marking a clear recovery phase for the sector after a period of uncertainty.

A key feature of this growth was the dominant role played international investors. Foreign capital accounted for roughly sixty percent of total investment, reinforcing Portugal’s position as an attractive destination for cross border real estate funds seeking long term returns and relative stability within Europe.

Retail and offices remain central pillars

Retail assets continued to attract the largest share of capital, accounting for twenty nine percent of all investment. Despite changing consumer habits and the continued rise of online commerce, well located shopping centers and retail parks remain appealing due to stable footfall and long term leasing structures.

Office properties followed closely, capturing twenty six percent of total investment. Investors have shown ongoing interest in prime office buildings, particularly those aligned with sustainability standards and flexible workspace models. However, this interest has not fully translated into stronger occupancy levels, highlighting a growing divergence between investment appetite and actual market absorption.

Hotels secured twenty percent of investment, reflecting confidence in Portugal’s tourism sector. Strong visitor numbers, combined with the country’s reputation as a safe and appealing destination, have kept hospitality assets firmly on the radar of international investors.

Rise of alternative property segments

Beyond traditional asset classes, alternative real estate segments gained increasing relevance. Specialized residential assets, including student housing and senior living developments, represented around thirteen percent of total investment. These segments benefit from long term demographic trends, such as aging populations and growing demand for higher education accommodation in major urban centers.

Industrial and logistics assets accounted for approximately eleven percent of investment. While still a smaller share compared to retail or offices, logistics continues to attract interest due to supply chain reconfiguration and the expansion of ecommerce. Investors remain focused on modern facilities with strong connectivity to ports and transport corridors.

Slower absorption tempers market optimism

Despite higher investment volumes, market fundamentals showed signs of cooling in certain segments. Office absorption levels declined sharply over the year, falling twenty three percent in Lisbon and fifty one percent in Porto compared to the same period last year. This reflects changing workplace dynamics, including hybrid work models and cautious corporate expansion strategies.

The logistics sector also experienced a notable slowdown, with absorption dropping around thirty percent. Developers and occupiers alike appear to be reassessing expansion plans amid broader economic uncertainty and rising financing costs.

What the numbers mean for the market outlook

The contrast between rising investment and weaker absorption highlights a market in transition. Capital continues to flow into Portuguese commercial real estate, driven long term confidence and international demand. At the same time, occupier activity is adjusting to new economic and structural realities.

Analysts suggest that future performance will depend on how effectively the market adapts. Assets that offer flexibility, sustainability, and strong location fundamentals are likely to outperform, while secondary properties may face increasing pressure.

Balancing opportunity and caution ahead

The 2025 investment figures underline Portugal’s enduring appeal to global real estate investors. However, declining absorption levels serve as a reminder that growth is uneven across sectors. As the market moves forward, a careful balance between new development, adaptive reuse, and realistic demand forecasts will be essential to sustain long term stability and returns.