Consumer Confidence Falls in February as Economic Climate Shows Slight Improvement

In Global Economy
February 26, 2026
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Consumer confidence in Portugal declined in February, reversing gains recorded in the previous two months, according to the latest business and consumer surveys released the Instituto Nacional de Estatística.

The national statistics office reported that the consumer confidence indicator decreased during the month, signalling growing caution among households regarding their financial outlook and broader economic conditions. The decline comes after two consecutive months of improvement, suggesting renewed uncertainty among Portuguese consumers.

In contrast, the economic climate indicator, which is based on surveys of companies across various sectors, rose slightly in February following a drop in January. The modest increase indicates a marginal improvement in business sentiment, though trends remain mixed across industries.

According to the INE data, confidence improved in the services and manufacturing sectors. Businesses in these areas reported more favourable assessments of current activity levels and short term expectations. The services sector, which plays a central role in Portugal’s economy through tourism, hospitality and professional services, contributed positively to the overall economic climate reading.

Manufacturing also recorded a recovery in confidence, reflecting stabilisation in production expectations and order books. Industrial activity has been influenced external demand conditions within the European Union, as well as domestic cost pressures.

However, sentiment weakened in the commerce sector and in construction and public works. Retail and wholesale trade businesses signalled more cautious expectations, potentially linked to softer household spending and evolving inflation dynamics. Construction companies also expressed concerns, reflecting ongoing challenges related to project costs, financing conditions and administrative delays.

The divergence between consumer sentiment and business confidence highlights the complex economic landscape facing Portugal. While some companies report improving operational indicators, households appear more reserved about their personal financial situation and the broader economic outlook.

Consumer confidence indicators are closely monitored as they provide insight into potential future spending behaviour. A sustained decline can influence retail activity, housing demand and overall domestic consumption, which remains a key driver of economic growth.

At the same time, business surveys offer forward looking signals regarding investment intentions, hiring plans and production levels. The slight recovery in the economic climate indicator may suggest stabilisation after recent volatility, though sectoral disparities remain evident.

Portugal continues to navigate broader European economic trends, including inflation adjustments, interest rate developments and external demand shifts. February’s data reflects a mixed scenario, with businesses showing cautious optimism in certain sectors while consumers adopt a more restrained outlook.